OpenPrediction
AI will use 4% of US electricity in 2027 (7% in 2030)
“The median expert predicts that 4% of U.S. electricity consumption will be used for training and deploying AI systems in 2027.”
Context: FRI Longitudinal Expert AI Panel, Wave 2 "AI for Science" (277 experts surveyed Aug 18-Sep 15, 2025; report released Nov 10, 2025). Median expert forecast.
How we judge it
Our interpretation: correct if credible 2027 estimates (EIA, LBNL, IEA, Epoch) put AI training plus inference at 3-5% of US electricity consumption.
Resolution criteria are our interpretation of the claim, written before grading. Methodology
- Said
- Resolve by
- Due in 815 days
- Verdict
- Open
- Stated probability
- None stated
- Specificity
- 3 of 3 (precise and measurable)
